Toluca vs Necaxa football prediction
Toluca Toluca
VS
Necaxa Necaxa
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Toluca vs Necaxa Predictions | Mexico Liga MX | August 3, 2026

🌍 Your local time
🕒 UTC Mon, Aug 3, 2026 01:05 UTC
🏆 Competition Mexico Liga MX
🏟️ Venue Estadio Nemesio Diez — Toluca
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Toluca vs Necaxa match preview

Toluca vs Necaxa is scheduled for August 3, 2026 in Mexico Liga MX. This match page tracks the kickoff time, venue information at Estadio Nemesio Diez in Toluca, team details and the current three-way probability profile for home win, draw and away win.

For this fixture, the current probability view lists Toluca at 62%, draw at 21% and Necaxa at 17%. The strongest outcome is Toluca, and the match profile is marked as slight favourite for the August 3, 2026 slate.

Win probabilities

Home, draw and away win probabilities calculated from available data and normalized to 100%.

Home win
62%
Toluca
Most supported outcome
Draw
21%
Draw
Lower base case
Away win
17%
Necaxa
Still in the game
Overall stance: home favourite. The implied view leans home favourite, with the vertical view above as the main read of this match.

Head-to-head history: Toluca vs Necaxa

Recent direct meetings imported from API-Football. The summary below is normalized to this fixture perspective: Toluca as home side and Necaxa as away side.

21Matches
11Toluca wins
7Draws
3Necaxa wins
Toluca52%
Draw33%
Necaxa15%

H2H goals: Toluca 40 - 22 Necaxa across 21 completed direct meetings.

2026-02-22
Necaxa vs TolucaMexico Liga MX
0 - 3
2025-07-13
Toluca vs NecaxaMexico Liga MX
3 - 1
2025-03-08
Toluca vs NecaxaMexico Liga MX
5 - 2
2024-10-28
Necaxa vs TolucaMexico Liga MX
1 - 3
2024-02-10
Necaxa vs TolucaMexico Liga MX
3 - 3
2023-07-02
Toluca vs NecaxaMexico Liga MX
0 - 0

Mexico Liga MX classification

# Team Pld W D L GD Pts Form
1
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
3 2 1 0 3 7 DWW
2
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3 2 0 1 2 6 WWL
3
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
2 2 0 0 2 6 WW
4
Atlas Atlas
2 2 0 0 2 6 WW
5
Necaxa Necaxa
2 2 0 0 2 6 WW
6
Club America Club America
2 1 1 0 1 4 DW
7
Puebla Puebla
3 1 1 1 0 4 DLW
8
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
3 1 1 1 -1 4 DWL
9
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
2 1 0 1 2 3 LW
10
Toluca Toluca
2 1 0 1 1 3 LW
11
Monterrey Monterrey
2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
12
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
13
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
3 0 2 1 -1 2 DDL
14
Atlante FC Atlante FC
2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
15
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
2 0 1 1 -2 1 DL
16
Leon Leon
2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
17
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
18
FC Juarez FC Juarez
3 0 0 3 -6 0 LLL

Key details for Toluca vs Necaxa

Compare this fixture with other games from the Mexico Liga MX schedule for the same date.

How to read this match page

The page separates fixture information from probability information. Match data such as teams, competition, kickoff time, venue and score status can appear even when pre-match probabilities are not available.

When a game is scheduled and valid data exists, the probability panel shows home win, draw and away win percentages normalized to 100%. When the game is live or finished, the scoreline becomes the primary information.

Questions about Toluca vs Necaxa

What is the status of Toluca vs Necaxa?

The match is listed as a scheduled fixture for August 3, 2026 in Mexico Liga MX.

Are probabilities available for this game?

Yes. The current probability split is Toluca 62%, draw 21% and Necaxa 17%.

Is head-to-head history available?

Yes. The H2H sample contains 21 completed direct meetings: Toluca 11 wins, 7 draws and Necaxa 3 wins.

Where can I find related games?

Related fixtures from Mexico Liga MX for the same date are listed below when they are available in the local dataset.

Important Note

These are calculated probabilitiesnot tips or financial advice. For information only.

See more match previews at Bueon.com