Toluca vs Atlas football prediction
Toluca Toluca
VS
Atlas Atlas
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Toluca vs Atlas Predictions | Mexico Liga MX | September 12, 2026

🌍 Your local time
🕒 UTC Sat, Sep 12, 2026 23:00 UTC
🏆 Competition Mexico Liga MX
🏟️ Venue Estadio Nemesio Diez — Toluca
← All matches on 2026-09-12 Competition schedule

Toluca vs Atlas match preview

Toluca vs Atlas is scheduled for September 12, 2026 in Mexico Liga MX. This match page tracks the kickoff time, venue information at Estadio Nemesio Diez in Toluca, team details and the current three-way probability profile for home win, draw and away win.

For this fixture, the current probability view lists Toluca at 63%, draw at 22% and Atlas at 15%. The strongest outcome is Toluca, and the match profile is marked as slight favourite for the September 12, 2026 slate.

Win probabilities

Home, draw and away win probabilities calculated from available data and normalized to 100%.

Home win
63%
Toluca
Most supported outcome
Draw
22%
Draw
Lower base case
Away win
15%
Atlas
Still in the game
Overall stance: home favourite. The implied view leans home favourite, with the vertical view above as the main read of this match.

Head-to-head history: Toluca vs Atlas

Recent direct meetings imported from API-Football. The summary below is normalized to this fixture perspective: Toluca as home side and Atlas as away side.

22Matches
11Toluca wins
7Draws
4Atlas wins
Toluca50%
Draw32%
Atlas18%

H2H goals: Toluca 39 - 26 Atlas across 22 completed direct meetings.

2026-03-15
Toluca vs AtlasMexico Liga MX
1 - 1
2025-11-01
Atlas vs TolucaMexico Liga MX
0 - 0
2025-04-13
Atlas vs TolucaMexico Liga MX
2 - 3
2024-09-28
Toluca vs AtlasMexico Liga MX
4 - 1
2024-04-07
Toluca vs AtlasMexico Liga MX
4 - 1
2023-08-26
Atlas vs TolucaMexico Liga MX
0 - 0

Mexico Liga MX classification

# Team Pld W D L GD Pts Form
1
Club America Club America
6 5 1 0 10 16 WWWWD
2
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
7 4 2 1 6 14 WDWWD
3
Toluca Toluca
6 4 1 1 8 13 WWDWL
4
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
6 4 1 1 3 13 WLWDW
5
Atlas Atlas
7 4 1 2 1 13 DLWWL
6
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
7 4 0 3 1 12 WWLLL
7
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
6 3 1 2 2 10 WLDWW
8
Leon Leon
6 3 1 2 2 10 DWWWL
9
Puebla Puebla
6 3 1 2 0 10 LWWDL
10
Monterrey Monterrey
6 3 0 3 3 9 LLWWL
11
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
7 2 2 3 2 8 WDDLL
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
6 2 2 2 0 8 LDDWW
13
Necaxa Necaxa
7 2 2 3 -3 8 DLDLL
14
Atlante FC Atlante FC
7 1 4 2 -2 7 DDLDW
15
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
7 1 3 3 -2 6 DDWLL
16
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
7 1 3 3 -5 6 LWDLD
17
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
7 0 1 6 -8 1 LDLLL
18
FC Juarez FC Juarez
7 0 0 7 -18 0 LLLLL

Key details for Toluca vs Atlas

Browse all football matches on 2026-09-12 or compare this fixture with the Mexico Liga MX schedule.

How to read this match page

The page separates fixture information from probability information. Match data such as teams, competition, kickoff time, venue and score status can appear even when pre-match probabilities are not available.

When a game is scheduled and valid data exists, the probability panel shows home win, draw and away win percentages normalized to 100%. When the game is live or finished, the scoreline becomes the primary information.

Questions about Toluca vs Atlas

What is the status of Toluca vs Atlas?

The match is listed as a scheduled fixture for September 12, 2026 in Mexico Liga MX.

Are probabilities available for this game?

Yes. The current probability split is Toluca 63%, draw 22% and Atlas 15%.

Is head-to-head history available?

Yes. The H2H sample contains 22 completed direct meetings: Toluca 11 wins, 7 draws and Atlas 4 wins.

Where can I find related games?

Related fixtures from Mexico Liga MX for the same date are listed below when they are available in the local dataset.

Important Note

These are calculated probabilitiesnot tips or financial advice. For information only.

See more match previews at Bueon.com