Puebla vs Toluca football prediction
Puebla Puebla
VS
Toluca Toluca
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Puebla vs Toluca Predictions | Mexico Liga MX | September 16, 2026

🌍 Your local time
🕒 UTC Wed, Sep 16, 2026 01:00 UTC
🏆 Competition Mexico Liga MX
🏟️ Venue Estadio Cuauhtémoc — Puebla
← All matches on 2026-09-16 Competition schedule

Puebla vs Toluca match preview

Puebla vs Toluca is scheduled for September 16, 2026 in Mexico Liga MX. This match page tracks the kickoff time, venue information at Estadio Cuauhtémoc in Puebla, team details and the current three-way probability profile for home win, draw and away win.

For this fixture, the current probability view lists Puebla at 21%, draw at 23% and Toluca at 56%. The strongest outcome is Toluca, and the match profile is marked as slight favourite for the September 16, 2026 slate.

Win probabilities

Home, draw and away win probabilities calculated from available data and normalized to 100%.

Home win
21%
Puebla
Still very live
Draw
23%
Draw
Lower base case
Away win
56%
Toluca
Most supported outcome
Overall stance: away favourite. The implied view leans away favourite, with the vertical view above as the main read of this match.

Head-to-head history: Puebla vs Toluca

Recent direct meetings imported from API-Football. The summary below is normalized to this fixture perspective: Puebla as home side and Toluca as away side.

21Matches
7Puebla wins
6Draws
8Toluca wins
Puebla33%
Draw29%
Toluca38%

H2H goals: Puebla 27 - 32 Toluca across 21 completed direct meetings.

2026-01-31
Puebla vs TolucaMexico Liga MX
0 - 0
2025-09-14
Toluca vs PueblaMexico Liga MX
3 - 1
2025-03-15
Puebla vs TolucaMexico Liga MX
0 - 3
2024-10-23
Toluca vs PueblaMexico Liga MX
5 - 0
2024-01-27
Puebla vs TolucaMexico Liga MX
1 - 1
2023-11-01
Toluca vs PueblaMexico Liga MX
0 - 1

Mexico Liga MX classification

# Team Pld W D L GD Pts Form
1
Club America Club America
6 5 1 0 10 16 WWWWD
2
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
7 4 2 1 6 14 WDWWD
3
Toluca Toluca
6 4 1 1 8 13 WWDWL
4
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
6 4 1 1 3 13 WLWDW
5
Atlas Atlas
7 4 1 2 1 13 DLWWL
6
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
7 4 0 3 1 12 WWLLL
7
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
6 3 1 2 2 10 WLDWW
8
Leon Leon
6 3 1 2 2 10 DWWWL
9
Puebla Puebla
6 3 1 2 0 10 LWWDL
10
Monterrey Monterrey
6 3 0 3 3 9 LLWWL
11
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
7 2 2 3 2 8 WDDLL
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
6 2 2 2 0 8 LDDWW
13
Necaxa Necaxa
7 2 2 3 -3 8 DLDLL
14
Atlante FC Atlante FC
7 1 4 2 -2 7 DDLDW
15
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
7 1 3 3 -2 6 DDWLL
16
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
7 1 3 3 -5 6 LWDLD
17
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
7 0 1 6 -8 1 LDLLL
18
FC Juarez FC Juarez
7 0 0 7 -18 0 LLLLL

Key details for Puebla vs Toluca

Browse all football matches on 2026-09-16 or compare this fixture with the Mexico Liga MX schedule.

How to read this match page

The page separates fixture information from probability information. Match data such as teams, competition, kickoff time, venue and score status can appear even when pre-match probabilities are not available.

When a game is scheduled and valid data exists, the probability panel shows home win, draw and away win percentages normalized to 100%. When the game is live or finished, the scoreline becomes the primary information.

Questions about Puebla vs Toluca

What is the status of Puebla vs Toluca?

The match is listed as a scheduled fixture for September 16, 2026 in Mexico Liga MX.

Are probabilities available for this game?

Yes. The current probability split is Puebla 21%, draw 23% and Toluca 56%.

Is head-to-head history available?

Yes. The H2H sample contains 21 completed direct meetings: Puebla 7 wins, 6 draws and Toluca 8 wins.

Where can I find related games?

Related fixtures from Mexico Liga MX for the same date are listed below when they are available in the local dataset.

Important Note

These are calculated probabilitiesnot tips or financial advice. For information only.

See more match previews at Bueon.com